End of the Ninth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 122 (20 on the archive and 102 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 44
Defender wins (French): 78
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 865 | 63% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 928 | 901 | 54% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
| 958 | 1183 | 21% | 2021-06-16 | Lost |
| 937 | 799 | 69% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
| 1089 | 956 | 68% | 2020-11-16 | Lost |
| 929 | 1213 | 16% | 2020-02-06 | Lost |
| 1051 | 909 | 69% | 2015-08-18 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1099 | 55% | 2015-04-03 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1095 | 42% | 2014-09-20 | Won |
| 1093 | 1095 | 50% | 2012-06-19 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1084 | 40% | 2011-04-06 | Won |
| 1228 | 1063 | 72% | 2009-01-14 | Won |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-09-11 | Won |
| 1169 | 1040 | 68% | 2003-09-06 | Won |
| 612 | 1098 | 6% | 2003-08-02 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1046 | 55% | 2003-07-27 | Won |
| 1050 | 1111 | 41% | 1996-08-01 | Won |
| 919 | 1208 | 16% | 1993-10-08 | Won |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Lost |
| 1166 | 1105 | 59% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1028.5 vs 1050.2 has a 46.88% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).