End of the Ninth
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 124 (22 on the archive and 102 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (French): 79
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 979 | 865 | 66% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 1013 | 1026 | 48% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1218 | 20% | 2021-06-16 | Lost |
| 919 | 799 | 67% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1010 | 53% | 2020-11-16 | Lost |
| 975 | 1058 | 38% | 2020-02-06 | Lost |
| 1051 | 985 | 59% | 2015-08-18 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1117 | 52% | 2015-04-03 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1099 | 42% | 2014-09-20 | Won |
| 1107 | 1069 | 55% | 2012-06-19 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1046 | 48% | 2011-04-06 | Won |
| 1228 | 944 | 84% | 2009-01-14 | Won |
| 1068 | 1051 | 52% | 2005-12-22 | Won |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2004-09-11 | Won |
| 1173 | 1097 | 61% | 2003-09-06 | Won |
| 613 | 1101 | 6% | 2003-08-02 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1046 | 49% | 2003-07-27 | Won |
| 1024 | 1114 | 37% | 1996-08-01 | Won |
| 919 | 1198 | 17% | 1993-10-08 | Won |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 1993-02-22 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1021.3 vs 1043.5 has a 46.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).