The Rock
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 94 (17 on the archive and 77 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 45
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 1170 | 23% | 2026-06-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1120 | 43% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1039 | 962 | 61% | 2018-06-13 | Won |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2017-05-30 | Lost |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2017-05-08 | Won |
| 934 | 1052 | 34% | 2016-10-04 | Lost |
| 956 | 948 | 51% | 2015-05-14 | Lost |
| 1027 | 999 | 54% | 2015-03-28 | Won |
| 1120 | 1107 | 52% | 2014-07-24 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1127 | 46% | 2007-07-12 | Lost |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 2001-05-15 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1118 | 49% | 1995-07-23 | Won |
| 1091 | 1000 | 63% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1119 | 46% | | Won |
| 1091 | 1010 | 61% | | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1039.5 vs 1066.4 has a 46.14% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).