Hazardous Occupation
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (13 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 23
Defender wins (Partisan (Muslim)): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 1029 | 48% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
| 993 | 959 | 55% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
| 1051 | 969 | 62% | 2019-07-22 | Won |
| 1103 | 1035 | 60% | 2016-02-16 | Won |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1226 | 1080 | 70% | 2013-10-19 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1109 | 52% | 2012-06-21 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1109 | 36% | 2010-10-25 | Won |
| 1038 | 1013 | 54% | 2006-12-29 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1226 | 25% | 2006-12-26 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1189 | 28% | 2001-03-02 | Won |
| 1203 | 1080 | 67% | 1999-07-03 | Won |
| 1117 | 1000 | 66% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1075 vs 1064.5 has a 51.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).