Hazardous Occupation
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (13 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 23
Defender wins (Partisan (Muslim)): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2019-11-11 | Lost |
| 1021 | 960 | 59% | 2019-09-29 | Won |
| 1051 | 967 | 62% | 2019-07-22 | Won |
| 1103 | 1035 | 60% | 2016-02-16 | Won |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1226 | 1080 | 70% | 2013-10-19 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1108 | 52% | 2012-06-21 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1109 | 36% | 2010-10-25 | Won |
| 1014 | 1014 | 50% | 2006-12-29 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1196 | 26% | 2006-12-26 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1139 | 34% | 2001-03-02 | Won |
| 1014 | 1089 | 39% | 1999-07-03 | Won |
| 1104 | 1000 | 65% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1060 vs 1056.4 has a 50.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).