The Battle for Rome
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 78 (14 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 33
Defender wins (Italian): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 941 | 75% | 2021-05-23 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1054 | 57% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
| 956 | 1044 | 38% | 2020-08-15 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1134 | 45% | 2019-12-14 | Won |
| 1038 | 1005 | 55% | 2019-11-11 | Won |
| 1108 | 1117 | 49% | 2019-11-02 | Won |
| 1036 | 1102 | 41% | 2015-10-01 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1269 | 21% | 2008-12-30 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1256 | 51% | 2004-08-02 | Won |
| 1344 | 1022 | 86% | 2001-06-28 | Won |
| 1056 | 1096 | 44% | 1998-01-08 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1110 | 59% | 1995-01-21 | Won |
| 1105 | 1031 | 60% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1106.6 vs 1084.4 has a 53.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).