Revenge at Kastelli
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (16 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek): 47
Defender wins (German): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2020-07-18 | Won |
| 1004 | 975 | 54% | 2018-09-09 | Won |
| 1158 | 993 | 72% | 2018-02-05 | Won |
| 1158 | 926 | 79% | 2018-02-05 | Won |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2017-03-21 | Won |
| 858 | 1151 | 16% | 2016-12-27 | Won |
| 1193 | 1053 | 69% | 2014-05-01 | Won |
| 998 | 1001 | 50% | 2014-02-15 | Won |
| 962 | 881 | 61% | 2012-05-29 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1041 | 48% | 2011-07-09 | Lost |
| 944 | 1004 | 41% | 2011-05-05 | Won |
| 1011 | 1011 | 50% | 2011-03-08 | Won |
| 920 | 952 | 45% | 2008-12-12 | Won |
| 866 | 1059 | 25% | 1998-05-20 | Won |
| 1202 | 1110 | 63% | 1995-01-14 | Won |
| 1002 | 984 | 53% | 1991-02-15 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1021.6 vs 1009.4 has a 51.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).