Revenge at Kastelli
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 96 (16 on the archive and 80 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Greek): 59
Defender wins (German): 37
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1093 | 954 | 69% | 2020-07-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2018-09-09 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2018-02-05 | | Won |
| 1159 | 930 | 79% | 2018-02-05 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1032 | 46% | 2017-03-21 | | Won |
| 850 | 1123 | 17% | 2016-12-27 | | Won |
| 1079 | 1053 | 54% | 2014-05-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2014-02-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 880 | 67% | 2012-05-29 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1036 | 48% | 2011-07-09 | | Lost |
| 950 | 1000 | 43% | 2011-05-05 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2011-03-08 | | Won |
| 906 | 1000 | 37% | 2008-12-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1077 | 39% | 1998-05-20 | | Won |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 1995-01-14 | | Won |
| 954 | 1000 | 43% | 1991-02-15 | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1016.4 vs 1004.2 has a 51.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).