Point of No Return
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (10 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (New Zealand): 40
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 1008 | 1002 | 51% | 2020-05-29 | Won |
| 1080 | 1155 | 39% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 1089 | 956 | 68% | 2019-04-16 | Won |
| 1046 | 1037 | 51% | 2019-01-11 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 958 | 954 | 51% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1006 | 62% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1183 | 975 | 77% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1110 | 1208 | 36% | 1995-01-07 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1073.8 vs 1046.9 has a 53.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).