Point of No Return
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 71 (11 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (New Zealand): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1156 | 1137 | 53% | 2025-04-29 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2021-04-11 | Won |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2020-05-29 | Won |
| 1133 | 1149 | 48% | 2019-06-29 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1036 | 46% | 2019-04-16 | Won |
| 1055 | 1059 | 49% | 2019-01-11 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2017-04-09 | Lost |
| 1226 | 944 | 84% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1006 | 63% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1189 | 994 | 75% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1110 | 1202 | 37% | 1995-01-07 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1104.8 vs 1063.9 has a 55.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).