Turning the Tables
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (18 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (British): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2026-06-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1188 | 25% | 2026-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 928 | 76% | 2025-06-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1144 | 30% | 2025-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1055 | 63% | 2020-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2020-03-07 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1017 | 51% | 2019-10-11 | | Won |
| 1075 | 992 | 62% | 2018-12-12 | | Won |
| 1075 | 992 | 62% | 2018-12-12 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1000 | 64% | 2018-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 986 | 66% | 2017-12-23 | | Lost |
| 1129 | 1025 | 65% | 2015-06-27 | | Won |
| 1071 | 1024 | 57% | 2013-12-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 945 | 58% | 2012-07-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 915 | 62% | 2009-08-26 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1061 | 68% | 2008-06-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 1995-07-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1072.7 vs 1023.3 has a 57.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).