Turning the Tables
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (18 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 34
Defender wins (British): 40
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1000 | 67% | 2026-06-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1201 | 24% | 2026-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 972 | 72% | 2025-06-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2025-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1054 | 63% | 2020-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1035 | 63% | 2020-03-07 | | Lost |
| 1085 | 966 | 66% | 2019-10-11 | | Won |
| 1134 | 992 | 69% | 2018-12-12 | | Won |
| 1134 | 992 | 69% | 2018-12-12 | | Won |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2018-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 974 | 65% | 2017-12-23 | | Lost |
| 1129 | 987 | 69% | 2015-06-27 | | Won |
| 1071 | 1024 | 57% | 2013-12-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 948 | 57% | 2012-07-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 915 | 62% | 2009-08-26 | | Lost |
| 1208 | 1022 | 74% | 2008-06-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 1995-07-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1085.3 vs 1025.1 has a 58.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).