Escape from Derna
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (5 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 4
Defender wins (German): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 955 | 56% | 2020-02-08 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1023 | 49% | 2018-03-29 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1037 | 57% | 2012-09-08 | Lost |
| 958 | 1019 | 41% | 2012-08-25 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1118 | 55% | 1995-06-29 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1042.2 vs 1030.4 has a 51.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).