Silence that Gun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 475 (76 on the archive and 399 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 179
Defender wins (German): 296
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1017 | 868 | 70% | 2024-12-07 | Won |
| 1264 | 987 | 83% | 2024-09-21 | Won |
| 1030 | 1017 | 52% | 2024-07-27 | Won |
| 873 | 873 | 50% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 991 | 1008 | 48% | 2022-06-12 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1046 | 50% | 2022-04-28 | Lost |
| 1046 | 861 | 74% | 2022-04-28 | Won |
| 970 | 1010 | 44% | 2021-12-09 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1085 | 42% | 2021-03-08 | Lost |
| 991 | 1049 | 42% | 2021-03-08 | Lost |
| 1100 | 994 | 65% | 2021-02-13 | Won |
| 976 | 974 | 50% | 2020-12-14 | Won |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2020-08-01 | Won |
| 903 | 1001 | 36% | 2020-01-19 | Lost |
| 994 | 1248 | 19% | 2019-10-31 | Won |
| 1094 | 913 | 74% | 2019-07-26 | Won |
| 1113 | 1171 | 42% | 2019-07-13 | Won |
| 1017 | 1224 | 23% | 2019-07-13 | Won |
| 1149 | 1037 | 66% | 2018-11-12 | Lost |
| 955 | 1157 | 24% | 2018-09-30 | Lost |
| 898 | 856 | 56% | 2018-09-24 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1116 | 38% | 2018-06-11 | Won |
| 898 | 1158 | 18% | 2018-06-01 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1149 | 41% | 2017-10-21 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1132 | 34% | 2017-08-21 | Won |
| 1075 | 908 | 72% | 2017-03-11 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1005 | 70% | 2017-03-02 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1008 | 78% | 2016-10-14 | Won |
| 1001 | 1043 | 44% | 2016-09-25 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2015-11-17 | Lost |
| 903 | 982 | 39% | 2015-05-15 | Lost |
| 981 | 1228 | 19% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 981 | 1228 | 19% | 2015-03-07 | Lost |
| 998 | 1154 | 29% | 2014-11-13 | Lost |
| 984 | 1027 | 44% | 2014-10-01 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1038 | 46% | 2014-08-06 | Won |
| 847 | 974 | 32% | 2014-06-05 | Lost |
| 959 | 987 | 46% | 2014-01-26 | Won |
| 1027 | 947 | 61% | 2013-12-15 | Lost |
| 1257 | 1014 | 80% | 2013-10-14 | Won |
| 1219 | 1173 | 57% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 844 | 1219 | 10% | 2013-09-09 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1039 | 47% | 2013-06-10 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1099 | 52% | 2013-01-29 | Won |
| 1098 | 951 | 70% | 2012-11-05 | Won |
| 1058 | 961 | 64% | 2012-10-22 | Won |
| 881 | 962 | 39% | 2012-05-29 | Won |
| 1073 | 1039 | 55% | 2012-02-05 | Won |
| 933 | 870 | 59% | 2011-10-10 | Lost |
| 989 | 1031 | 44% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
| 868 | 960 | 37% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
| 963 | 1018 | 42% | 2009-11-04 | Lost |
| 898 | 963 | 41% | 2009-10-27 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1004 | 70% | 2009-10-08 | Lost |
| 1140 | 916 | 78% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1046 | 1039 | 51% | 2009-08-05 | Lost |
| 943 | 1017 | 40% | 2008-09-24 | Lost |
| 920 | 1017 | 36% | 2008-08-15 | Lost |
| 1095 | 987 | 65% | 2007-11-17 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1132 | 63% | 2007-01-08 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1060 | 48% | 2006-08-03 | Lost |
| 966 | 955 | 52% | 2006-06-09 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1186 | 30% | 2006-05-06 | Lost |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2005-01-26 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1010 | 62% | 2005-01-11 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1086 | 54% | 2004-08-01 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1055 | 45% | 2004-02-24 | Lost |
| 998 | 928 | 60% | 2003-05-18 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1013 | 56% | 2000-10-25 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1055 | 48% | 2000-10-17 | Lost |
| 1136 | 978 | 71% | 1998-08-10 | Won |
| 872 | 1015 | 31% | 1998-06-06 | Won |
| 1061 | 869 | 75% | 1995-11-07 | Won |
| 1136 | 1106 | 54% | 1995-09-12 | Lost |
| 1248 | 1015 | 79% | 1993-07-15 | Lost |
Attacking (30 wins) average ELOs: 1030.8 vs 1030 has a 50.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).