To the Square
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 129 (22 on the archive and 107 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 71
Defender wins (German): 58
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 1159 | 48% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 939 | 903 | 55% | 2021-12-13 | Won |
| 1053 | 940 | 66% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1038 | 69% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 976 | 1079 | 36% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
| 1001 | 1043 | 44% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
| 903 | 956 | 42% | 2018-02-15 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1105 | 55% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
| 1094 | 944 | 70% | 2012-12-20 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1175 | 47% | 2011-09-20 | Lost |
| 960 | 892 | 60% | 2011-09-14 | Lost |
| 866 | 1010 | 30% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
| 1089 | 1000 | 63% | 2010-05-14 | Won |
| 959 | 996 | 45% | 2009-08-06 | Won |
| 1094 | 1031 | 59% | 2006-10-27 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2005-11-26 | Won |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2005-01-02 | Won |
| 613 | 1098 | 6% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 2001-06-02 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1136 | 33% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
| 1248 | 911 | 87% | 1994-03-09 | Lost |
| 984 | 997 | 48% | 1992-04-29 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1029.1 vs 1012.8 has a 52.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).