To the Square
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (24 on the archive and 107 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 72
Defender wins (German): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1169 | 1169 | 50% | 2025-03-15 | Lost |
| 939 | 951 | 48% | 2021-12-13 | Won |
| 1043 | 954 | 63% | 2021-01-26 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1056 | 66% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
| 976 | 1115 | 31% | 2019-07-29 | Won |
| 1005 | 1052 | 43% | 2018-12-06 | Won |
| 951 | 956 | 49% | 2018-02-15 | Lost |
| 979 | 1068 | 37% | 2015-12-15 | Lost |
| 1068 | 979 | 63% | 2015-07-24 | Won |
| 1142 | 1105 | 55% | 2014-12-28 | Won |
| 1096 | 942 | 71% | 2012-12-20 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1190 | 44% | 2011-09-20 | Lost |
| 927 | 1013 | 38% | 2011-09-14 | Lost |
| 866 | 1011 | 30% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
| 1051 | 1000 | 57% | 2010-05-14 | Won |
| 960 | 1013 | 42% | 2009-08-06 | Won |
| 1041 | 1075 | 45% | 2006-10-27 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2005-11-26 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2005-01-02 | Won |
| 614 | 1100 | 6% | 2002-06-22 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 2001-06-02 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1138 | 35% | 1998-01-17 | Lost |
| 1156 | 911 | 80% | 1994-03-09 | Lost |
| 985 | 986 | 50% | 1992-04-29 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1023.3 vs 1028.5 has a 49.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).