Dash for the Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 122 (31 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 43
Defender wins (German (SS)): 79
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 1125 | 51% | 2023-12-06 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1118 | 60% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 1192 | 1017 | 73% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 965 | 923 | 56% | 2021-07-26 | Lost |
| 923 | 936 | 48% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1165 | 35% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
| 1031 | 923 | 65% | 2017-12-20 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2017-05-17 | Won |
| 1214 | 961 | 81% | 2016-11-15 | Won |
| 992 | 969 | 53% | 2015-04-11 | Lost |
| 981 | 1228 | 19% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1239 | 1228 | 52% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1010 | 963 | 57% | 2015-02-05 | Lost |
| 1250 | 1116 | 68% | 2014-10-27 | Lost |
| 1116 | 985 | 68% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
| 999 | 975 | 53% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
| 951 | 1032 | 39% | 2012-09-29 | Lost |
| 1094 | 944 | 70% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1094 | 55% | 2012-01-02 | Lost |
| 836 | 954 | 34% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 1228 | 1094 | 68% | 2010-07-11 | Won |
| 958 | 998 | 44% | 2009-08-07 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1095 | 42% | 2008-10-05 | Won |
| 969 | 829 | 69% | 2008-02-10 | Won |
| 1010 | 943 | 60% | 2006-09-13 | Lost |
| 1018 | 978 | 56% | 2004-11-28 | Lost |
| 1055 | 1029 | 54% | 2004-10-29 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1074 | 49% | 2000-09-01 | Won |
| 1126 | 881 | 80% | 1994-04-30 | Lost |
| 940 | 983 | 44% | 1992-03-04 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1055.4 vs 1024.4 has a 54.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).