Dash for the Bridge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 124 (33 on the archive and 91 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 68
Defender wins (German (SS)): 55
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German (SS)): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 996 | 52% | 2026-01-24 | Won |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2023-12-06 | Lost |
| 979 | 1003 | 47% | 2023-03-21 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1118 | 65% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 1228 | 1017 | 77% | 2021-11-16 | Won |
| 937 | 988 | 43% | 2021-07-26 | Lost |
| 966 | 1068 | 36% | 2021-05-09 | Lost |
| 1057 | 1172 | 34% | 2020-06-28 | Lost |
| 1025 | 988 | 55% | 2017-12-20 | Lost |
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2017-05-17 | Won |
| 1218 | 958 | 82% | 2016-11-15 | Won |
| 992 | 974 | 53% | 2015-04-11 | Lost |
| 981 | 1233 | 19% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 1242 | 1233 | 51% | 2015-03-01 | Lost |
| 984 | 960 | 53% | 2015-02-05 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1070 | 70% | 2014-10-27 | Lost |
| 1070 | 984 | 62% | 2013-12-09 | Won |
| 1022 | 975 | 57% | 2012-11-25 | Lost |
| 951 | 1028 | 39% | 2012-09-29 | Lost |
| 1108 | 943 | 72% | 2012-05-26 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1093 | 54% | 2012-01-02 | Lost |
| 835 | 884 | 43% | 2011-07-11 | Won |
| 1233 | 1101 | 68% | 2010-07-11 | Won |
| 957 | 953 | 51% | 2009-08-07 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1094 | 42% | 2008-10-05 | Won |
| 969 | 827 | 69% | 2008-02-10 | Won |
| 1011 | 943 | 60% | 2006-09-13 | Lost |
| 1160 | 919 | 80% | 2004-11-28 | Lost |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2004-10-29 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1084 | 39% | 2000-09-01 | Won |
| 1170 | 881 | 84% | 1994-04-30 | Lost |
| 1056 | 984 | 60% | 1992-03-04 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1060.1 vs 1024.3 has a 55.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).