In Sight of the Volga
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 205 (41 on the archive and 164 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 66
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 137
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (Russian (NKVD)/Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
938 | 1018 | 39% | 2025-04-14 | Lost |
814 | 835 | 47% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
952 | 937 | 52% | 2022-05-25 | Won |
1219 | 1224 | 49% | 2022-01-13 | Won |
903 | 939 | 45% | 2021-06-07 | Lost |
903 | 899 | 51% | 2020-04-26 | Lost |
1152 | 916 | 80% | 2020-04-25 | Lost |
1307 | 1173 | 68% | 2020-02-02 | Won |
937 | 971 | 45% | 2020-01-12 | Won |
1079 | 976 | 64% | 2018-11-17 | Lost |
1015 | 892 | 67% | 2018-04-14 | Won |
1043 | 1001 | 56% | 2017-10-15 | Won |
893 | 1219 | 13% | 2017-05-01 | Lost |
877 | 996 | 34% | 2017-01-23 | Lost |
943 | 996 | 42% | 2016-10-12 | Lost |
903 | 1056 | 29% | 2016-06-12 | Lost |
987 | 903 | 62% | 2015-09-13 | Lost |
963 | 1010 | 43% | 2015-01-04 | Won |
976 | 951 | 54% | 2013-11-29 | Won |
1219 | 879 | 88% | 2013-08-10 | Lost |
1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2013-02-27 | Lost |
900 | 1165 | 18% | 2013-02-02 | Lost |
881 | 946 | 41% | 2012-11-23 | Lost |
973 | 996 | 47% | 2012-11-04 | Tied |
962 | 881 | 61% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
944 | 1094 | 30% | 2012-01-04 | Lost |
1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2011-12-04 | Lost |
960 | 892 | 60% | 2011-06-10 | Won |
904 | 973 | 40% | 2010-10-09 | Won |
1048 | 1062 | 48% | 2010-09-30 | Lost |
1002 | 871 | 68% | 2010-06-06 | Won |
996 | 959 | 55% | 2008-07-21 | Lost |
943 | 1010 | 40% | 2006-08-09 | Lost |
950 | 1084 | 32% | 2004-11-27 | Lost |
1116 | 1002 | 66% | 2004-07-13 | Won |
1098 | 978 | 67% | 2004-06-19 | Lost |
1015 | 866 | 70% | 1998-09-14 | Lost |
1118 | 1248 | 32% | 1996-10-10 | Lost |
881 | 1248 | 11% | 1994-03-04 | Lost |
1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
1117 | 1121 | 49% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 999.4 vs 1008.7 has a 48.67% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).