Mila 18
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 288 (62 on the archive and 226 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 144
Defender wins (Partisan (ZOB)): 143
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2026-07-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 692 | 85% | 2025-10-15 | | Won |
| 869 | 1000 | 32% | 2025-02-02 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2024-08-06 | | Won |
| 979 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-06-28 | | Lost |
| 992 | 967 | 54% | 2024-04-01 | | Lost |
| 967 | 992 | 46% | 2024-03-28 | | Lost |
| 967 | 992 | 46% | 2024-03-28 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 986 | 70% | 2023-10-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1015 | 48% | 2022-12-29 | | Lost |
| 1227 | 1013 | 77% | 2021-06-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2021-03-07 | | Won |
| 932 | 1172 | 20% | 2020-12-08 | | Lost |
| 1172 | 932 | 80% | 2020-11-25 | | Won |
| 1102 | 877 | 79% | 2020-08-03 | | Won |
| 981 | 1164 | 26% | 2020-06-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1220 | 22% | 2020-04-12 | | Lost |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2019-05-09 | | Won |
| 961 | 921 | 56% | 2019-01-10 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1008 | 57% | 2018-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 950 | 74% | 2017-09-09 | | Won |
| 904 | 948 | 44% | 2017-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 894 | 80% | 2017-03-16 | | Won |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2017-02-14 | | Won |
| 1116 | 1035 | 61% | 2016-04-26 | | Won |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2016-01-06 | | Won |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2015-10-18 | | Lost |
| 944 | 1134 | 25% | 2015-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 968 | 64% | 2015-06-01 | | Won |
| 983 | 970 | 52% | 2015-04-11 | | Won |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2014-12-07 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2014-07-10 | | Won |
| 1116 | 901 | 78% | 2014-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1116 | 34% | 2014-02-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2013-08-18 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1134 | 32% | 2013-07-05 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1000 | 68% | 2013-07-03 | | Won |
| 900 | 1000 | 36% | 2013-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2012-10-24 | | Won |
| 1014 | 919 | 63% | 2012-09-24 | | Won |
| 951 | 919 | 55% | 2012-09-24 | | Won |
| 987 | 1227 | 20% | 2012-08-24 | | Won |
| 1230 | 1000 | 79% | 2012-07-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1071 | 40% | 2012-04-23 | | Won |
| 973 | 1000 | 46% | 2012-02-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 880 | 67% | 2011-01-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2010-11-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2009-06-28 | | Won |
| 1062 | 839 | 78% | 2009-01-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 917 | 62% | 2009-01-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1116 | 34% | 2008-07-23 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 1233 | 36% | 2007-01-22 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2006-05-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 862 | 69% | 2005-04-20 | | Lost |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2004-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 891 | 67% | 2004-11-13 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1104 | 50% | 2000-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1151 | 63% | 1999-04-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 948 | 57% | 1998-11-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 1998-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 1998-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 1994-01-03 | | Won |
Attacking (36 wins) average ELOs: 1033.1 vs 1004.1 has a 54.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).