Conference Approved
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (4 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 10
Defender wins (North Korean): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2026-04-14 | Won |
| 1078 | 1161 | 38% | 2025-12-25 | Won |
| 1181 | 976 | 76% | 2025-12-13 | Won |
| 1031 | 1167 | 31% | 2025-12-09 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1060.5 vs 1115 has a 42.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).