Conference Approved
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6 (3 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American (USMC)): 5
Defender wins (North Korean): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 1134 | 44% | 2025-12-25 | Won |
| 1194 | 999 | 75% | 2025-12-13 | Won |
| 1041 | 1076 | 45% | 2025-12-09 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1109.7 vs 1069.7 has a 55.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).