Viking Surprise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (7 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1283 | 729 | 96% | 2026-06-29 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1178 | 44% | 2026-04-20 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2026-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2026-02-12 | | Lost |
| 1209 | 1000 | 77% | 2026-01-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2025-12-15 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1000 | 43% | 2025-11-09 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1123.1 vs 995.4 has a 67.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).