Viking Surprise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 13 (7 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 7
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1216 | 743 | 94% | 2026-06-29 | Won |
| 1077 | 1136 | 42% | 2026-04-20 | Won |
| 1052 | 1040 | 52% | 2026-03-29 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1164 | 59% | 2026-02-12 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1243 | 50% | 2026-01-30 | Lost |
| 1034 | 890 | 70% | 2025-12-15 | Lost |
| 986 | 945 | 56% | 2025-11-09 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1119.1 vs 1023 has a 63.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).