The Forester's Lodge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15 (7 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 846 | 938 | 37% | 2026-05-21 | Won |
| 846 | 854 | 49% | 2026-05-05 | Lost |
| 956 | 1044 | 38% | 2026-04-02 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1220 | 27% | 2025-12-24 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1061 | 51% | 2025-12-12 | Won |
| 1204 | 1217 | 48% | 2025-12-12 | Won |
| 1195 | 999 | 76% | 2025-12-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1023.3 vs 1047.6 has a 46.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).