The Forester's Lodge
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (Russian): 4
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 837 | 938 | 36% | 2026-05-21 | | Won |
| 837 | 1000 | 28% | 2026-05-05 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1069 | 32% | 2026-04-02 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1283 | 29% | 2025-12-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2025-12-12 | | Won |
| 1201 | 1000 | 76% | 2025-12-12 | | Won |
| 1195 | 953 | 80% | 2025-12-12 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1019.6 vs 1048.7 has a 45.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).