Crossing Chaos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (18 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (French / Belgian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1212 | 1007 | 76% | 2026-05-28 | Won |
| 959 | 1031 | 40% | 2026-03-30 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1071 | 50% | 2026-03-26 | Lost |
| 1034 | 890 | 70% | 2026-03-23 | Won |
| 915 | 1121 | 23% | 2026-03-14 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1236 | 49% | 2026-03-14 | Lost |
| 884 | 1208 | 13% | 2026-03-13 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1040 | 50% | 2026-03-13 | Won |
| 1213 | 1161 | 57% | 2026-03-13 | Lost |
| 1038 | 973 | 59% | 2026-03-06 | Lost |
| 970 | 1034 | 41% | 2026-03-05 | Won |
| 1204 | 1213 | 49% | 2026-01-31 | Lost |
| 996 | 1028 | 45% | 2026-01-31 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1136 | 48% | 2026-01-07 | Lost |
| 983 | 1002 | 47% | 2025-12-14 | Won |
| 1035 | 1007 | 54% | 2025-11-22 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1036 | 63% | 2025-10-10 | Won |
| 1162 | 891 | 83% | 2025-01-25 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1066.3 vs 1060.3 has a 50.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).