Red Dragon Stalking Polar Bears
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 2
Attacker wins (CPVA): 2
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1164 | 1186 | 47% | 2025-08-19 | Won |
| 1164 | 1162 | 50% | 2025-07-13 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1164 vs 1174 has a 48.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).