Rough Recess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (13 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 16
Defender wins (German): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2025-12-20 | Won |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2025-12-11 | Lost |
| 1170 | 918 | 81% | 2025-11-26 | Won |
| 1022 | 941 | 61% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1158 | 37% | 2025-09-10 | Lost |
| 940 | 940 | 50% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 820 | 979 | 29% | 2025-08-12 | Lost |
| 973 | 1035 | 41% | 2025-08-10 | Won |
| 1043 | 1049 | 49% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 1034 | 890 | 70% | 2025-07-15 | Lost |
| 938 | 1166 | 21% | 2025-06-21 | Won |
| 869 | 982 | 34% | 2025-06-19 | Won |
| 967 | 874 | 63% | 2025-04-26 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 983 vs 990.2 has a 48.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).