The Last Knight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10 (5 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 1151 | 25% | 2025-01-22 | | Won |
| 1138 | 1289 | 30% | 2024-12-27 | | Won |
| 1104 | 1100 | 51% | 2024-12-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2024-11-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2024-10-30 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1041.2 vs 1116 has a 39.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).