The Overlook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34 (12 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (British): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 956 | 927 | 54% | 2025-05-05 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1120 | 50% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1205 | 47% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 989 | 1100 | 35% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 994 | 952 | 56% | 2025-01-30 | Won |
| 1307 | 981 | 87% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 891 | 870 | 53% | 2024-11-19 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1117 | 51% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1181 | 994 | 75% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 980 | 1013 | 45% | 2024-09-27 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1016 | 52% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1053.8 vs 1014.4 has a 55.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).