The Overlook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (15 on the archive and 32 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 24
Defender wins (British): 21
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 913 | 80% | 2025-10-25 | Won |
| 1200 | 1162 | 55% | 2025-06-28 | Won |
| 1024 | 1017 | 51% | 2025-05-05 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1099 | 50% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1213 | 1201 | 52% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 989 | 1098 | 35% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 1007 | 898 | 65% | 2025-01-30 | Won |
| 1292 | 1009 | 84% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 891 | 894 | 50% | 2024-11-19 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1117 | 46% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1213 | 973 | 80% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 973 | 1041 | 40% | 2024-09-27 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1016 | 50% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
| 1151 | 991 | 72% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1080.2 vs 1020.5 has a 58.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).