The Overlook
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (20 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (British): 29
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (British): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1231 | 1179 | 57% | 2026-06-19 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1025 | 52% | 2026-03-21 | Lost |
| 952 | 984 | 45% | 2026-03-14 | Won |
| 965 | 901 | 59% | 2026-03-14 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1264 | 45% | 2026-03-13 | Won |
| 1162 | 910 | 81% | 2025-10-25 | Won |
| 1193 | 1164 | 54% | 2025-06-28 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2025-05-05 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1099 | 48% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1201 | 43% | 2025-03-03 | Lost |
| 973 | 1152 | 26% | 2025-02-17 | Lost |
| 1011 | 837 | 73% | 2025-01-30 | Won |
| 1311 | 994 | 86% | 2025-01-03 | Won |
| 891 | 869 | 53% | 2024-11-19 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1078 | 50% | 2024-11-01 | Lost |
| 1152 | 966 | 74% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 893 | 878 | 52% | 2024-10-20 | Won |
| 1156 | 952 | 76% | 2024-09-27 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1018 | 55% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
| 1141 | 991 | 70% | 2024-09-14 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1082 vs 1021.9 has a 58.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).