Sheep in Wolf's Clothing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (17 on the archive and 30 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 19
Defender wins (British): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1130 | 1000 | 68% | 2026-03-21 | | Won |
| 1191 | 1162 | 54% | 2026-03-16 | | Lost |
| 1191 | 1000 | 75% | 2025-12-28 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-12-06 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2025-09-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-08-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-03-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-02-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1005 | 49% | 2025-02-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-12-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-11-08 | | Won |
| 969 | 1012 | 44% | 2024-10-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-10-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2024-10-13 | | Lost |
| 880 | 1036 | 29% | 2024-09-29 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 2024-09-26 | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1037.8 vs 1012.6 has a 53.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).