Sheep in Wolf's Clothing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (17 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (British): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2026-03-21 | Won |
| 1263 | 1198 | 59% | 2026-03-16 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1041 | 78% | 2025-12-28 | Won |
| 963 | 1141 | 26% | 2025-12-06 | Lost |
| 1164 | 888 | 83% | 2025-09-05 | Won |
| 1055 | 1054 | 50% | 2025-08-21 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1216 | 27% | 2025-05-23 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1160 | 47% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1088 | 52% | 2025-02-14 | Lost |
| 1141 | 985 | 71% | 2025-02-02 | Won |
| 869 | 891 | 47% | 2024-12-10 | Lost |
| 960 | 1002 | 44% | 2024-11-08 | Won |
| 1147 | 1174 | 46% | 2024-10-24 | Won |
| 953 | 1050 | 36% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
| 953 | 1050 | 36% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
| 908 | 1097 | 25% | 2024-09-29 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | 2024-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1057.4 vs 1063.8 has a 49.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).