Sheep in Wolf's Clothing
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (British): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
993 | 1215 | 22% | 2025-05-23 | Lost |
1167 | 1141 | 54% | 2025-03-29 | Lost |
1120 | 1122 | 50% | 2025-02-14 | Lost |
1167 | 1031 | 69% | 2025-02-02 | Won |
901 | 892 | 51% | 2024-12-10 | Lost |
1054 | 941 | 66% | 2024-11-08 | Won |
1154 | 1170 | 48% | 2024-10-24 | Won |
953 | 1050 | 36% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
953 | 1050 | 36% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
986 | 1019 | 45% | 2024-09-29 | Lost |
1079 | 1079 | 50% | 2024-09-26 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1047.9 vs 1064.5 has a 47.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).