Orange Blossom Disaster
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (5 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 7
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2025-06-14 | Lost |
| 979 | 992 | 48% | 2025-06-14 | Lost |
| 881 | 1193 | 14% | 2024-10-15 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1252 | 19% | 2024-07-04 | Lost |
| 975 | 964 | 52% | 2024-02-18 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 972.4 vs 1084.8 has a 34.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).