Pipkorn's Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36 (12 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 856 | 906 | 43% | 2025-03-01 | Won |
| 856 | 917 | 41% | 2025-01-15 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1181 | 47% | 2024-12-02 | Lost |
| 1161 | 960 | 76% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 1116 | 856 | 82% | 2024-09-02 | Won |
| 1116 | 1191 | 39% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 1257 | 1018 | 80% | 2024-06-18 | Lost |
| 984 | 1018 | 45% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1290 | 1141 | 70% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 994 | 999 | 49% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 767 | 956 | 25% | 2024-05-02 | Lost |
| 1161 | 1030 | 68% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1059.9 vs 1014.4 has a 56.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).