Pipkorn's Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (13 on the archive and 28 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 21
Defender wins (Russian): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 940 | 940 | 50% | 2025-06-08 | Lost |
| 848 | 907 | 42% | 2025-03-01 | Won |
| 848 | 918 | 40% | 2025-01-15 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1189 | 36% | 2024-12-02 | Lost |
| 1168 | 998 | 73% | 2024-11-10 | Lost |
| 1133 | 848 | 84% | 2024-09-02 | Won |
| 1133 | 1192 | 42% | 2024-08-21 | Won |
| 1252 | 996 | 81% | 2024-06-18 | Lost |
| 969 | 996 | 46% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1290 | 1170 | 67% | 2024-05-18 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1003 | 50% | 2024-05-11 | Won |
| 768 | 971 | 24% | 2024-05-02 | Lost |
| 1092 | 1031 | 59% | 2024-03-17 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1041.2 vs 1012.2 has a 54.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).