Pipkorn's Attempt
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (15 on the archive and 31 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 975 | 61% | 2025-12-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2025-07-17 | | Won |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-06-08 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1219 | 36% | 2025-04-02 | | Lost |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2025-03-01 | | Won |
| 940 | 1000 | 41% | 2025-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1057 | 954 | 64% | 2024-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1023 | 940 | 62% | 2024-09-02 | | Won |
| 1023 | 1000 | 53% | 2024-08-21 | | Won |
| 1281 | 984 | 85% | 2024-06-18 | | Lost |
| 959 | 984 | 46% | 2024-06-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2024-05-18 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 991 | 69% | 2024-05-11 | | Won |
| 780 | 977 | 24% | 2024-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2024-03-17 | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1019.6 vs 1028.1 has a 48.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).