St. Kilian's Bloody Sword
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (8 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 7
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1051 | 1095 | 44% | 2025-07-11 | Lost |
| 1212 | 1202 | 51% | 2024-10-19 | Lost |
| 933 | 1004 | 40% | 2024-08-16 | Lost |
| 865 | 865 | 50% | 2024-08-10 | Won |
| 864 | 1051 | 25% | 2024-07-30 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1101 | 59% | 2024-07-13 | Won |
| 1060 | 1089 | 46% | 2024-07-09 | Won |
| 994 | 1004 | 49% | 2024-03-10 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1017.6 vs 1051.4 has a 45.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).