Last Train to Leningrad
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (12 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 30
Defender wins (German): 15
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1144 | 983 | 72% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 1002 | 1031 | 46% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1020 | 69% | 2024-08-27 | Lost |
| 807 | 1069 | 18% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 923 | 982 | 42% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 998 | 940 | 58% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 879 | 954 | 39% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1097 | 1259 | 28% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1366 | 20% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2024-03-31 | Won |
| 1100 | 1045 | 58% | 2024-03-31 | Won |
| 1150 | 999 | 70% | 2024-03-11 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1040.4 vs 1055.3 has a 47.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).