Last Train to Leningrad
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 55 (14 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 16
Defender wins (German): 38
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 964 | 923 | 56% | 2025-01-23 | Won |
| 1064 | 1222 | 29% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1018 | 67% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 991 | 1053 | 41% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1068 | 47% | 2024-08-27 | Lost |
| 794 | 1029 | 21% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 913 | 1066 | 29% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 883 | 907 | 47% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 980 | 1029 | 43% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 823 | 993 | 27% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1107 | 1266 | 29% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 1222 | 964 | 82% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1016 | 63% | 2024-03-31 | Won |
| 1110 | 1044 | 59% | 2024-03-31 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1010.7 vs 1042.7 has a 45.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).