Last Train to Leningrad
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 58 (16 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 19
Defender wins (German): 38
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian (NKVD)): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1279 | 749 | 95% | 2025-05-24 | Won |
| 967 | 993 | 46% | 2025-01-23 | Won |
| 1066 | 1225 | 29% | 2024-11-15 | Lost |
| 1133 | 1051 | 62% | 2024-10-31 | Won |
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2024-10-13 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1006 | 66% | 2024-09-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1051 | 56% | 2024-08-27 | Lost |
| 787 | 1057 | 17% | 2024-08-08 | Won |
| 896 | 1065 | 27% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 883 | 910 | 46% | 2024-08-02 | Lost |
| 977 | 1001 | 47% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 845 | 998 | 29% | 2024-06-13 | Won |
| 1101 | 1264 | 28% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1265 | 44% | 2024-06-13 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1012 | 63% | 2024-03-31 | Won |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2024-03-31 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1039.3 vs 1043.3 has a 49.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).