Posts 9-11
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5 (3 on the archive and 2 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 3
Defender wins (Italian): 1
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Australian): 0
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1020 | 69% | 2023-12-30 | Won |
| 978 | 1018 | 44% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 1162 | 999 | 72% | 2023-06-13 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1099.7 vs 1012.3 has a 62.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).