Latecomers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 66 (21 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 39
Defender wins (French): 25
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1219 | 1213 | 51% | 2025-11-22 | Won |
| 786 | 1028 | 20% | 2025-11-21 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1088 | 45% | 2025-10-11 | Won |
| 756 | 1091 | 13% | 2025-07-19 | Lost |
| 972 | 943 | 54% | 2024-09-22 | Lost |
| 1018 | 898 | 67% | 2024-08-12 | Won |
| 1076 | 1015 | 59% | 2024-07-28 | Won |
| 1081 | 1051 | 54% | 2024-04-25 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2024-03-21 | Won |
| 1184 | 1087 | 64% | 2024-01-27 | Won |
| 1084 | 1125 | 44% | 2024-01-21 | Won |
| 1249 | 1054 | 75% | 2024-01-10 | Won |
| 1011 | 1018 | 49% | 2023-11-03 | Lost |
| 953 | 1073 | 33% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 999 | 1057 | 42% | 2023-10-21 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2023-10-15 | Lost |
| 1194 | 946 | 81% | 2023-10-08 | Won |
| 1180 | 1111 | 60% | 2023-08-05 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1135 | 69% | 2023-08-01 | Won |
| 1098 | 861 | 80% | 2023-07-18 | Won |
| 1076 | 1207 | 32% | 2023-06-04 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1064.3 vs 1051.8 has a 51.8% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).