Latecomers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (24 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 46
Defender wins (French): 26
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 0
Defender wins (French): 1
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Italian): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1119 | 1146 | 46% | 2026-05-02 | | Won |
| 1063 | 907 | 71% | 2026-05-02 | | Won |
| 1117 | 1000 | 66% | 2026-04-11 | | Won |
| 1205 | 1000 | 76% | 2025-11-22 | | Won |
| 786 | 1061 | 17% | 2025-11-21 | | Lost |
| 1054 | 1088 | 45% | 2025-10-11 | | Won |
| 698 | 1092 | 9% | 2025-07-19 | | Lost |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2024-09-22 | | Lost |
| 975 | 1000 | 46% | 2024-08-12 | D | Won |
| 1156 | 1051 | 65% | 2024-07-28 | | Won |
| 1077 | 1030 | 57% | 2024-04-25 | | Won |
| 1049 | 1000 | 57% | 2024-03-21 | | Won |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2024-01-27 | | Won |
| 1152 | 1134 | 53% | 2024-01-21 | | Won |
| 1263 | 1088 | 73% | 2024-01-10 | | Won |
| 998 | 975 | 53% | 2023-11-03 | | Lost |
| 953 | 1031 | 39% | 2023-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1013 | 51% | 2023-10-21 | A | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2023-10-15 | | Lost |
| 1181 | 946 | 79% | 2023-10-08 | | Won |
| 1100 | 1056 | 56% | 2023-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2023-08-01 | | Won |
| 1146 | 862 | 84% | 2023-07-18 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1187 | 46% | 2023-06-04 | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1068.8 vs 1034.9 has a 54.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).