Hell's Headache
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 76 (25 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 27
Defender wins (German): 47
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1045 | 47% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1117 | 1042 | 61% | 2024-04-13 | Tied |
| 1010 | 1119 | 35% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1186 | 1053 | 68% | 2023-09-09 | Lost |
| 973 | 1042 | 40% | 2023-07-30 | Won |
| 1030 | 1023 | 51% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1042 | 1031 | 52% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1089 | 1186 | 36% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1041 | 46% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1072 | 43% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1137 | 52% | 2023-04-14 | Lost |
| 875 | 878 | 50% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1143 | 54% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1041 | 73% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1047 | 1340 | 16% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1152 | 59% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1180 | 1017 | 72% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1226 | 1042 | 74% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 940 | 897 | 56% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 1050 | 1135 | 38% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 888 | 994 | 35% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1007 | 1054 | 43% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1047 | 1118 | 40% | | Lost |
| 1118 | 1091 | 54% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1069.2 vs 1071.2 has a 49.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).