Hell's Headache
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (24 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 25
Defender wins (German): 47
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1084 | 1068 | 52% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1195 | 958 | 80% | 2024-04-13 | Tied |
| 1012 | 1120 | 35% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1208 | 1055 | 71% | 2023-09-09 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1012 | 49% | 2023-07-30 | Won |
| 1043 | 1084 | 44% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 958 | 1030 | 40% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1046 | 1208 | 28% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1002 | 51% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1083 | 43% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 845 | 865 | 47% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1157 | 1143 | 52% | 2023-04-14 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1161 | 51% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1266 | 1132 | 68% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1028 | 1309 | 17% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1266 | 1002 | 82% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1233 | 1001 | 79% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1183 | 958 | 79% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 872 | 897 | 46% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 873 | 994 | 33% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1010 | 1045 | 45% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 1028 | 1105 | 39% | | Lost |
| 1105 | 1166 | 41% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1071.9 vs 1061.9 has a 51.44% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).