Hell's Headache
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (24 on the archive and 50 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 25
Defender wins (German): 47
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 1058 | 50% | 2024-10-10 | Won |
| 1190 | 1016 | 73% | 2024-04-13 | Tied |
| 1072 | 1119 | 43% | 2024-03-03 | Won |
| 1124 | 1047 | 61% | 2023-09-09 | Lost |
| 952 | 1029 | 39% | 2023-07-30 | Won |
| 1059 | 1058 | 50% | 2023-07-08 | Won |
| 1016 | 1044 | 46% | 2023-06-09 | Won |
| 1085 | 1124 | 44% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 1072 | 980 | 63% | 2023-05-27 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1115 | 37% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 837 | 864 | 46% | 2023-04-14 | Won |
| 1140 | 1179 | 44% | 2023-04-14 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-04-02 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1106 | 53% | 2023-04-01 | Lost |
| 1260 | 1136 | 67% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 996 | 1310 | 14% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1260 | 986 | 83% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1213 | 1001 | 77% | 2023-03-12 | Won |
| 1133 | 1016 | 66% | 2023-03-04 | Lost |
| 905 | 897 | 51% | 2023-03-03 | Lost |
| 861 | 994 | 32% | 2023-01-28 | Won |
| 1011 | 1044 | 45% | 2023-01-13 | Won |
| 996 | 1167 | 27% | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1167 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1068.5 vs 1064.4 has a 50.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).