Death at the Cement Plant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (24 on the archive and 44 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Russian): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1204 | 1072 | 68% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1103 | 1129 | 46% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 1065 | 998 | 60% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1031 | 957 | 60% | 2024-06-05 | Won |
| 1107 | 1012 | 63% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1064 | 956 | 65% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1413 | 16% | 2023-06-11 | Tied |
| 1093 | 1313 | 22% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1313 | 16% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1109 | 43% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1100 | 45% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1147 | 1048 | 64% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 989 | 1270 | 17% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1004 | 939 | 59% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1022 | 1048 | 46% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1059 | 1010 | 57% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1008 | 948 | 59% | 2023-02-11 | Won |
| 712 | 1151 | 7% | 2023-02-08 | Lost |
| 996 | 957 | 56% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1101 | 41% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 994 | 1189 | 25% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1050.4 vs 1102.7 has a 42.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).