Death at the Cement Plant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 69 (24 on the archive and 45 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 37
Defender wins (Russian): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1180 | 1084 | 63% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1131 | 46% | 2024-10-17 | Lost |
| 1144 | 879 | 82% | 2024-07-20 | Won |
| 1031 | 1042 | 48% | 2024-06-05 | Won |
| 1122 | 1022 | 64% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1054 | 60% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1022 | 54% | 2023-10-04 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1419 | 15% | 2023-06-11 | Tied |
| 1064 | 1340 | 17% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1340 | 14% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1124 | 43% | 2023-05-31 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1100 | 42% | 2023-04-08 | Won |
| 1152 | 1010 | 69% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 989 | 1216 | 21% | 2023-03-18 | Lost |
| 1004 | 930 | 60% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1023 | 1048 | 46% | 2023-03-02 | Won |
| 1059 | 1013 | 57% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 980 | 1030 | 43% | 2023-02-11 | Won |
| 713 | 1151 | 7% | 2023-02-08 | Lost |
| 1041 | 973 | 60% | 2023-01-28 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1340 | 19% | 2023-01-23 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1111 | 38% | 2023-01-20 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1226 | 25% | 2023-01-14 | Won |
| 1091 | 1118 | 46% | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1054 vs 1113.5 has a 41.53% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).