Death at the Cement Plant
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 74 (25 on the archive and 49 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 30
Defender wins (Russian): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 906 | 1025 | 34% | 2026-08-26 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 1167 | 57% | 2025-06-21 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1151 | 37% | 2024-10-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2024-07-20 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2024-06-05 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2023-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2023-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 1435 | 15% | 2023-06-11 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2023-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1029 | 1219 | 25% | 2023-06-10 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1134 | 52% | 2023-05-31 | | Lost |
| 1038 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-04-08 | | Won |
| 1162 | 1098 | 59% | 2023-03-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1241 | 20% | 2023-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1004 | 930 | 60% | 2023-03-02 | | Won |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2023-03-02 | | Won |
| 1059 | 1051 | 51% | 2023-03-01 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1017 | 53% | 2023-02-11 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 2023-02-08 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2023-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2023-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1063 | 1140 | 39% | 2023-01-20 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1192 | 32% | 2023-01-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1043.2 vs 1105.8 has a 41.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).