A Real War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21 (6 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Chinese): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 945 | 1095 | 30% | 2026-09-06 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2023-05-01 | | Won |
| 1150 | 780 | 89% | 2023-04-20 | | Won |
| 728 | 1289 | 4% | 2023-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1134 | 992 | 69% | 2023-02-22 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-02-04 | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1009.3 vs 1026 has a 47.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).