One Story Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (23 on the archive and 36 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 25
Defender wins (Russian): 33
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 1029 | 57% | 2026-05-22 | Won |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2025-11-30 | Lost |
| 966 | 1099 | 32% | 2025-07-03 | Won |
| 1125 | 1119 | 51% | 2025-06-22 | Won |
| 961 | 1146 | 26% | 2024-11-22 | Lost |
| 736 | 1182 | 7% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 937 | 1018 | 39% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1012 | 984 | 54% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
| 1060 | 990 | 60% | 2024-05-19 | Lost |
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1181 | 35% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1078 | 43% | 2023-12-30 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1038 | 54% | 2023-12-05 | Won |
| 890 | 1020 | 32% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 780 | 976 | 24% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2023-09-12 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1187 | 28% | 2023-08-07 | Lost |
| 981 | 1156 | 27% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1082 | 50% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1042 | 1122 | 39% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1042 | 1044 | 50% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1176 | 1021 | 71% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
| 1044 | 1187 | 31% | 2023-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1009.4 vs 1064.7 has a 42.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).