One Story Town
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (18 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Finnish): 10
Defender wins (Russian): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Finnish): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 940 | 1058 | 34% | 2024-11-22 | Lost |
| 749 | 1257 | 5% | 2024-10-14 | Lost |
| 879 | 1044 | 28% | 2024-10-04 | Lost |
| 1033 | 978 | 58% | 2024-05-19 | Won |
| 1031 | 1094 | 41% | 2024-02-02 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1045 | 53% | 2024-01-18 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1063 | 58% | 2023-12-30 | Lost |
| 904 | 1046 | 31% | 2023-12-05 | Won |
| 873 | 1085 | 23% | 2023-10-05 | Lost |
| 767 | 956 | 25% | 2023-09-28 | Lost |
| 1084 | 950 | 68% | 2023-09-12 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1141 | 32% | 2023-08-07 | Lost |
| 981 | 994 | 48% | 2023-07-29 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1046 | 47% | 2023-04-11 | Won |
| 1086 | 1039 | 57% | 2023-03-04 | Won |
| 1086 | 1039 | 57% | 2023-03-01 | Won |
| 1181 | 1161 | 53% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
| 1161 | 1141 | 53% | 2023-01-15 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 998.9 vs 1063.2 has a 40.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).