Stand at Sterlin's Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8 (4 on the archive and 4 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (Canadian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1001 | 1004 | 50% | 2025-06-14 | Won |
| 948 | 1008 | 41% | 2023-08-19 | Lost |
| 864 | 1051 | 25% | 2023-05-18 | Won |
| 1004 | 1002 | 50% | 2022-12-16 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 954.3 vs 1016.3 has a 41.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).