Red Packets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 216 (2 on the archive and 214 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 91
Defender wins (Russian): 124
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 861 | 1046 | 26% | 2024-03-19 | Lost |
| 944 | 1094 | 30% | 2012-04-29 | Tied |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 902.5 vs 1070 has a 27.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).