Race to the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (8 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (Japanese): 22
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1011 | 1023 | 48% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2024-04-21 | Lost |
| 972 | 1298 | 13% | 2023-02-21 | Lost |
| 801 | 1072 | 17% | 2023-02-01 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1100 | 53% | 2022-08-16 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1124 | 45% | 2022-08-05 | Lost |
| 1153 | 1140 | 52% | 2022-07-14 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2022-07-08 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1041.9 vs 1107.6 has a 40.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).