Race to the River
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (8 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (Japanese): 22
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (Japanese): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1036 | 1007 | 54% | 2024-07-12 | Won |
| 1087 | 1087 | 50% | 2024-04-21 | Lost |
| 973 | 1312 | 12% | 2023-02-21 | Lost |
| 787 | 1057 | 17% | 2023-02-01 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1090 | 66% | 2022-08-16 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1202 | 35% | 2022-08-05 | Lost |
| 1162 | 1193 | 46% | 2022-07-14 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1012 | 63% | 2022-07-08 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1055.6 vs 1120 has a 40.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).