The Trial
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17 (7 on the archive and 10 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 890 | 890 | 50% | 2026-03-30 | Lost |
| 989 | 989 | 50% | 2025-01-22 | Won |
| 1238 | 991 | 81% | 2024-12-03 | Won |
| 992 | 983 | 51% | 2023-04-24 | Won |
| 1106 | 970 | 69% | 2022-11-22 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1033 | 71% | 2022-07-30 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1036 | 47% | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1060.4 vs 984.6 has a 60.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).