Agony at Arnautovo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 2
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (Italian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2023-05-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2022-03-26 | | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 976 vs 1069.5 has a 36.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).