Last Hope at New Flower
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 1
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1120 | 1124 | 49% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 1169 | 1004 | 72% | 2022-07-31 | Won |
| 944 | 1004 | 41% | 2022-05-25 | Lost |
| 933 | 1166 | 21% | 2022-05-24 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1041.5 vs 1074.5 has a 45.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).