Last Hope at New Flower
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 4
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 1
Defender wins (Italian/Eritrean): 3
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1131 | 54% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 1131 | 998 | 68% | 2022-07-31 | Won |
| 955 | 999 | 44% | 2022-05-25 | Lost |
| 913 | 945 | 45% | 2022-05-24 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1039.5 vs 1018.3 has a 53.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).