The Wells of Borgut
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (5 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian/Eritrean): 3
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1124 | 49% | 2022-07-31 | Lost |
| 933 | 1166 | 21% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
| 944 | 1004 | 41% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1010.8 vs 1070.6 has a 41.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).