The Wells of Borgut
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14 (6 on the archive and 8 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian/Eritrean): 8
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1016 | 1016 | 50% | 2025-08-29 | Won |
| 1018 | 1037 | 47% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 1041 | 945 | 63% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
| 1112 | 1104 | 51% | 2022-07-31 | Lost |
| 985 | 1016 | 46% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
| 948 | 945 | 50% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1020 vs 1010.5 has a 51.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).