The Wells of Borgut
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Italian/Eritrean): 1
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2023-03-17 | Lost |
| 940 | 998 | 42% | 2022-11-05 | Lost |
| 1159 | 1131 | 54% | 2022-07-31 | Lost |
| 913 | 945 | 45% | 2022-05-23 | Lost |
| 955 | 999 | 44% | 2022-05-20 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1002.6 vs 1023.8 has a 46.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).