The Bitwoded Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (6 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 1078 | 59% | 2025-05-04 | Won |
| 1014 | 1028 | 48% | 2022-12-31 | Lost |
| 986 | 1021 | 45% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1115 | 1123 | 49% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 974 | 1098 | 33% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
| 949 | 1192 | 20% | 2022-04-03 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1029.5 vs 1090 has a 41.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).