The Bitwoded Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (6 on the archive and 3 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2025-05-04 | | Won |
| 999 | 1060 | 41% | 2022-12-31 | | Lost |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2022-10-08 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1100 | 36% | 2022-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1032 | 47% | 2022-04-30 | | Won |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2022-04-03 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 990.5 vs 1058 has a 40.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).