The Bitwoded Gamble
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11 (5 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Ethiopian): 6
Defender wins (Italian): 5
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1012 | 48% | 2022-12-31 | Lost |
| 1018 | 992 | 54% | 2022-10-08 | Won |
| 1161 | 1169 | 49% | 2022-06-25 | Lost |
| 974 | 1084 | 35% | 2022-04-30 | Won |
| 954 | 984 | 46% | 2022-04-03 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1020.4 vs 1048.2 has a 46.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).