Our Place In the Sun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (5 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Eritrean): 8
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2024-08-01 | | Won |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2022-09-14 | | Won |
| 991 | 1147 | 29% | 2022-08-28 | | Lost |
| 1014 | 1084 | 40% | 2022-03-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 948 | 57% | 2022-03-03 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1004.4 vs 1043.6 has a 44.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).