Our Place In the Sun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Eritrean): 4
Defender wins (Ethiopian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 1133 | 41% | 2024-08-01 | Won |
| 1017 | 1017 | 50% | 2022-09-14 | Won |
| 1019 | 986 | 55% | 2022-08-28 | Lost |
| 974 | 1124 | 30% | 2022-03-05 | Won |
| 1092 | 944 | 70% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1034 vs 1040.8 has a 49.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).