The Beleaguered Capital
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (6 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalists): 6
Defender wins (Republicans): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Nationalists): 0
Defender wins (Republicans): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1159 | 46% | 2023-01-22 | Lost |
| 1191 | 910 | 83% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1116 | 47% | 2022-06-14 | Lost |
| 1151 | 1021 | 68% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1017 | 68% | 2022-03-15 | Lost |
| 1250 | 979 | 83% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1161.2 vs 1033.7 has a 67.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).