The Beleaguered Capital
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (6 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Nationalists): 7
Defender wins (Republicans): 17
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Nationalists): 0
Defender wins (Republicans): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1086 | 1079 | 51% | 2023-01-22 | Lost |
| 1144 | 904 | 80% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1102 | 50% | 2022-06-14 | Lost |
| 1200 | 1022 | 74% | 2022-03-18 | Lost |
| 1248 | 991 | 81% | 2022-03-15 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1045 | 76% | 2022-01-09 | Won |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1170.2 vs 1023.8 has a 69.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).