The Horse They Never Rode
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (4 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 12
Defender wins (Communist Chinese): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1047 | 1075 | 46% | 2024-04-06 | Won |
| 1100 | 918 | 74% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1246 | 998 | 81% | 2022-07-30 | Lost |
| 998 | 1250 | 19% | 2021-10-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1097.8 vs 1060.3 has a 55.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).