The Horse They Never Rode
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (5 on the archive and 14 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 6
Defender wins (Communist Chinese): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1110 | 38% | 2024-04-06 | Won |
| 1177 | 1175 | 50% | 2023-06-20 | Lost |
| 1120 | 906 | 77% | 2022-11-05 | Won |
| 1046 | 955 | 63% | 2022-07-30 | Lost |
| 955 | 1206 | 19% | 2021-10-16 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1064.2 vs 1070.4 has a 49.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).