First Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (9 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 18
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1133 | 920 | 77% | 2023-10-27 | Won |
| 1113 | 1202 | 37% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 979 | 992 | 48% | 2022-09-30 | Won |
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2022-09-30 | Won |
| 979 | 1057 | 39% | 2021-12-01 | Won |
| 996 | 999 | 50% | 2021-11-23 | Won |
| 1111 | 1313 | 24% | 2021-11-10 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1200 | 46% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1064.8 vs 1087.2 has a 46.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).