First Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (10 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 16
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2025-09-18 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 896 | 69% | 2023-10-27 | | Won |
| 1134 | 1125 | 51% | 2023-07-28 | | Won |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2022-09-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 969 | 54% | 2022-09-30 | | Won |
| 990 | 1098 | 35% | 2021-12-01 | | Won |
| 1028 | 999 | 54% | 2021-11-23 | | Won |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2021-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1229 | 1000 | 79% | 2021-08-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1070 | 40% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1057.6 vs 1041.1 has a 52.37% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).