Villy Muss Fallen! East
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19 (6 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (French): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1218 | 1000 | 78% | 2024-11-03 | | Won |
| 1125 | 1134 | 49% | 2022-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1099 | 36% | 2022-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1098 | 755 | 88% | 2021-11-13 | | Won |
| 966 | 912 | 58% | 2021-11-12 | | Won |
| 976 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-10-21 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1063.8 vs 983.3 has a 61.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).