Villy Muss Fallen! East
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18 (6 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 13
Defender wins (French): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1204 | 1213 | 49% | 2024-11-03 | Won |
| 1189 | 1004 | 74% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1004 | 1132 | 32% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1059 | 787 | 83% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 998 | 940 | 58% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 971 | 927 | 56% | 2021-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1070.8 vs 1000.5 has a 59.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).