Villy Muss Fallen! East
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (7 on the archive and 13 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 14
Defender wins (French): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1218 | 1213 | 51% | 2024-11-03 | Won |
| 1174 | 1045 | 68% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1076 | 1133 | 42% | 2022-07-13 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1143 | 36% | 2022-01-15 | Lost |
| 1077 | 763 | 86% | 2021-11-13 | Won |
| 956 | 913 | 56% | 2021-11-12 | Won |
| 997 | 1217 | 22% | 2021-10-21 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1077.6 vs 1061 has a 52.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).