Fox in the Cold
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (3 on the archive and 9 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Red Chinese): 1
Defender wins (American (USMC)): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1078 | 1139 | 41% | 2024-07-21 | Lost |
| 986 | 1013 | 46% | 2024-01-13 | Lost |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2020-01-06 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 990.3 vs 1056 has a 40.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).