The Bend
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (14 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 937 | 962 | 46% | 2024-01-15 | Won |
| 756 | 1256 | 5% | 2022-07-04 | Lost |
| 1076 | 979 | 64% | 2022-01-17 | Lost |
| 975 | 999 | 47% | 2021-12-02 | Won |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2021-12-01 | Lost |
| 923 | 1024 | 36% | 2021-11-15 | Lost |
| 1131 | 979 | 71% | 2021-11-08 | Lost |
| 1097 | 914 | 74% | 2021-10-22 | Won |
| 1068 | 1041 | 54% | 2021-08-29 | Lost |
| 1157 | 1058 | 64% | 2021-08-24 | Lost |
| 1243 | 979 | 82% | 2021-05-16 | Lost |
| 1019 | 980 | 56% | 2021-05-02 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1031 | 48% | 2021-01-19 | Won |
| 1018 | 1018 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1028.6 vs 1017.9 has a 51.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).