The Bend
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (14 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 17
Defender wins (American): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2024-01-15 | | Won |
| 729 | 1283 | 4% | 2022-07-04 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2022-01-17 | | Lost |
| 986 | 963 | 53% | 2021-12-02 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-12-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1054 | 42% | 2021-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-11-08 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 1149 | 31% | 2021-10-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1025 | 46% | 2021-08-29 | | Lost |
| 1178 | 1134 | 56% | 2021-08-24 | | Lost |
| 1208 | 1000 | 77% | 2021-05-16 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 974 | 65% | 2021-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2021-01-19 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1042.1 vs 1030 has a 51.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).