Hickory Lickin'
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 80 (22 on the archive and 58 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1035 | 1035 | 50% | 2026-02-22 | Lost |
| 993 | 979 | 52% | 2025-03-27 | Won |
| 919 | 865 | 58% | 2022-08-31 | Lost |
| 992 | 1134 | 31% | 2022-08-22 | Lost |
| 1136 | 973 | 72% | 2022-08-20 | Won |
| 1016 | 1055 | 44% | 2022-07-25 | Lost |
| 1253 | 999 | 81% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1420 | 1253 | 72% | 2022-05-01 | Lost |
| 969 | 1019 | 43% | 2022-04-23 | Lost |
| 1131 | 979 | 71% | 2022-01-07 | Won |
| 756 | 1256 | 5% | 2021-12-07 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1049 | 44% | 2021-12-04 | Tied |
| 1024 | 1137 | 34% | 2021-12-03 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1174 | 29% | 2021-10-08 | Lost |
| 999 | 780 | 78% | 2021-09-17 | Won |
| 1174 | 900 | 83% | 2021-07-15 | Won |
| 1117 | 1217 | 36% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1217 | 36% | 2021-07-14 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1157 | 43% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1243 | 979 | 82% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1026 | 1077 | 43% | 2021-05-15 | Won |
| 1198 | 1030 | 72% | 2021-01-27 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1075 vs 1057.5 has a 52.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).