Hickory Lickin'
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 83 (23 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 31
Defender wins (German): 51
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 890 | 1017 | 32% | 2026-04-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2026-02-22 | | Lost |
| 988 | 1000 | 48% | 2025-03-27 | | Won |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2022-08-31 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1160 | 28% | 2022-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 982 | 70% | 2022-08-20 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2022-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1001 | 78% | 2022-06-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2022-05-01 | | Lost |
| 968 | 1098 | 32% | 2022-04-23 | | Lost |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2022-01-07 | | Won |
| 734 | 1217 | 6% | 2021-12-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2021-12-04 | | Tied |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2021-12-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2021-10-08 | | Lost |
| 976 | 780 | 76% | 2021-09-17 | | Won |
| 1164 | 901 | 82% | 2021-07-15 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1218 | 40% | 2021-07-14 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1218 | 40% | 2021-07-14 | | Lost |
| 1126 | 1136 | 49% | 2021-06-13 | | Lost |
| 1192 | 1000 | 75% | 2021-05-16 | | Won |
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2021-05-15 | | Won |
| 1125 | 1030 | 63% | 2021-01-27 | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1037.6 vs 1061.5 has a 46.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).