The Beasts Have Arrived
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 109 (31 on the archive and 78 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 46
Defender wins (Russian): 63
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1050 | 1050 | 50% | 2025-03-24 | Lost |
| 966 | 1136 | 27% | 2024-05-10 | Won |
| 1038 | 1028 | 51% | 2024-01-27 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1092 | 42% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1080 | 39% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1098 | 65% | 2023-08-03 | Won |
| 1149 | 1039 | 65% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
| 937 | 866 | 60% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 872 | 898 | 46% | 2022-11-14 | Won |
| 1102 | 1309 | 23% | 2022-10-24 | Lost |
| 938 | 986 | 43% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1183 | 1027 | 71% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
| 1309 | 1041 | 82% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1002 | 1004 | 50% | 2022-04-30 | Lost |
| 1183 | 958 | 79% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1083 | 43% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 1002 | 1008 | 49% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1014 | 54% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1011 | 49% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1010 | 1160 | 30% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1208 | 24% | 2021-08-10 | Lost |
| 1309 | 1014 | 85% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
| 1266 | 1060 | 77% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1159 | 48% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
| 1213 | 1141 | 60% | 2021-07-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1158 | 1225 | 40% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1046 | 1059 | 48% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1009 | 924 | 62% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1183 | 958 | 79% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1143 | 1158 | 48% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1081.6 vs 1058.9 has a 53.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).