The Beasts Have Arrived
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 110 (31 on the archive and 79 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 46
Defender wins (Russian): 64
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1045 | 1046 | 50% | 2025-03-24 | Lost |
| 978 | 1101 | 33% | 2024-05-10 | Won |
| 947 | 972 | 46% | 2024-01-27 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1151 | 42% | 2023-10-06 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1073 | 40% | 2023-09-08 | Lost |
| 1201 | 1085 | 66% | 2023-08-03 | Won |
| 1172 | 1098 | 60% | 2023-07-03 | Lost |
| 904 | 865 | 56% | 2023-01-05 | Lost |
| 941 | 898 | 56% | 2022-11-14 | Won |
| 993 | 1252 | 18% | 2022-10-24 | Lost |
| 1018 | 986 | 55% | 2022-07-16 | Lost |
| 1235 | 1013 | 78% | 2022-06-16 | Won |
| 1252 | 1071 | 74% | 2022-06-10 | Won |
| 1027 | 1040 | 48% | 2022-04-30 | Lost |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2022-03-16 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1072 | 45% | 2022-03-02 | Won |
| 954 | 1066 | 34% | 2022-02-06 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1087 | 44% | 2022-02-05 | Lost |
| 1007 | 989 | 53% | 2021-11-11 | Won |
| 1052 | 1191 | 31% | 2021-08-11 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1201 | 30% | 2021-08-10 | Lost |
| 1252 | 1015 | 80% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
| 1200 | 1147 | 58% | 2021-07-24 | Won |
| 1179 | 1052 | 68% | 2021-07-24 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1157 | 42% | 2021-07-06 | Lost |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2021-07-03 | Won |
| 1176 | 1239 | 41% | 2021-06-19 | Won |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 1019 | 967 | 57% | 2021-05-26 | Won |
| 1235 | 991 | 80% | 2021-05-16 | Won |
| 1200 | 1176 | 53% | 2021-03-20 | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1083.5 vs 1066.5 has a 52.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).