The Chocos
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 70 (18 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 38
Defender wins (Australian): 32
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2025-10-10 | Lost |
| 1264 | 980 | 84% | 2025-09-13 | Won |
| 1048 | 1052 | 49% | 2025-07-29 | Won |
| 1042 | 1110 | 40% | 2024-08-24 | Lost |
| 1017 | 1070 | 42% | 2024-05-11 | Lost |
| 1014 | 991 | 53% | 2024-03-22 | Won |
| 922 | 1102 | 26% | 2023-07-28 | Won |
| 999 | 1046 | 43% | 2023-07-04 | Won |
| 1022 | 876 | 70% | 2023-03-06 | Won |
| 1120 | 1214 | 37% | 2022-10-06 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1049 | 45% | 2021-12-18 | Won |
| 1151 | 1145 | 51% | 2021-08-13 | Won |
| 1057 | 1173 | 34% | 2021-08-05 | Lost |
| 932 | 1102 | 27% | 2021-06-26 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1259 | 29% | 2021-05-18 | Won |
| 1256 | 754 | 95% | 2021-04-19 | Won |
| 1232 | 1067 | 72% | 2021-04-16 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1022 | 71% | 2021-01-23 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1079.2 vs 1062.9 has a 52.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).